Experienced traders are fully aware of the fact that you won’t succeed in the long run if you don’t stick to a well-thought-out strategy that employs efficient tools. There are a bunch of strategies that lead traders from all over the world to generous profits. The question is: which one to choose? In order to answer this question, you need to learn more about each available strategy in particular.
Today, in this article, we are going to help you figure out the peculiarities of the Golden Cross strategy applied in forex and CFD trading. Let’s take a closer look at what instruments it employs, how you can adjust your trading goals to it, how it can be improved, and what the risks of this approach are.
The Golden Cross Strategy is an important tool of technical analysis. Its name derives from the visual representation of two moving average indicators on a chart – the 50-day line (often referred to as the “Golden Line”) and the 200-day line (“Death Cross”).
- Golden Line: This shorter-term indicator closely follows the price movements of an asset. It represents a more immediate trend and is sensitive to short-term fluctuations.
- Death Cross: The longer-term indicator provides a broader perspective, reflecting the asset’s overall trend over an extended period. When it crosses below the Golden Line, it forms the “Death Cross”. This formation spots the probable shift in the trend.
The efficacy of this trading approach is most pronounced in scenarios where asset prices demonstrate robust and sustained trends. This strategy may exhibit some sluggishness in identifying the inception of a fresh trend. In situations characterized by range-bound markets, it is advisable to refrain from employing the Golden Cross Strategy. Moreover, the conventional 50 SMA/200 SMA pairing seldom generates trading signals. As a result, more dynamic users tend to reduce the moving average periods, opting for combinations like 10 SMA/30 SMA or 20 SMA/100 SMA. In markets characterized by frequent short-term trends, the 10 SMA/30 SMA combo tends to yield superior outcomes. Conversely, in markets featuring gradual, enduring trends, opting for longer moving average combinations often proves more fruitful.
Application of the Tool
This approach to technical analysis is more straightforward compared to other instruments but requires careful observation and analysis:
- Bullish Signals: Users consider entering a long position when the Golden Line crosses above the Death Cross. This crossover is interpreted as a buy signal, suggesting that the asset’s value is likely to rise.
- Sell Signal: Conversely, when the Death Cross crosses above the Golden Line, it forms a bearish signal. This is seen as a warning sign of a potential downtrend, prompting traders to consider exiting their long positions or even entering short positions.
The Key Advantages
- Simplicity: The Strategy is easy to learn and implement, making it suitable for traders of various experience levels.
- Long-Term Trend Identification: By incorporating both short-term and long-term indicators, the strategy helps to identify sustained trends, reducing the impact of market noise.
- Risk Management: It aids traders in setting stop-loss orders and managing risk, especially during trend reversals.
- Historical Reliability: Over time, it has demonstrated its reliability in identifying significant market turns.
- Lagging Indicator: Like many technical analysis tools, the Gold Cross is a lagging indicator, meaning it may not provide timely signals during rapid market shifts.
- False Signals: In sideways or choppy markets, the strategy can generate false signals, leading to unprofitable trades.
- Not Foolproof: While the Gold Cross can be a valuable tool, it’s not infallible. Traders should consider other factors, such as market fundamentals and news events, to make well-informed decisions.
The Final Thought
In conclusion, the Golden Cross Strategy remains a valuable tool in the trader’s toolkit. While it’s not without its limitations, its simplicity, historical reliability, and ability to identify long-term trends make it a strategy worth considering when navigating the dynamic world of financial markets. As with any trading approach, diligent analysis, risk management, and continuous learning are crucial for success.